Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.040216 0.046955 0.054367 0.063112 0.073131 0.084234 0.097457
2025-06-08 0.028912 0.037383 0.047578 0.060693 0.077054 0.096721 0.122075
2025-06-15 0.023534 0.033245 0.045872 0.063356 0.086773 0.116870 0.158261
2025-06-22 0.018748 0.028706 0.042592 0.063121 0.092396 0.132277 0.190267
2025-06-29 0.014837 0.024478 0.038812 0.061307 0.095243 0.143934 0.218297
2025-07-06 0.012142 0.021453 0.036132 0.060442 0.099011 0.156949 0.249336
2025-07-13 0.010888 0.020432 0.036269 0.063747 0.109267 0.180373 0.297968
2025-07-20 0.009680 0.019234 0.035870 0.066020 0.118013 0.202205 0.346172
2025-07-27 0.008106 0.017068 0.033449 0.064462 0.120115 0.213488 0.378470
2025-08-03 0.006949 0.015455 0.031729 0.063819 0.123565 0.227132 0.415686
2025-08-10 0.005828 0.013692 0.029436 0.061750 0.124127 0.235746 0.444940
2025-08-17 0.004954 0.012270 0.027567 0.060186 0.125336 0.245452 0.476759
2025-08-24 0.004359 0.011362 0.026634 0.060413 0.130110 0.262294 0.523433
2025-08-31 0.003700 0.010176 0.024927 0.058810 0.131092 0.272191 0.558275
2025-09-07 0.003468 0.009975 0.025345 0.061774 0.141651 0.301305 0.631943
2025-09-14 0.003063 0.009251 0.024456 0.061733 0.145912 0.318471 0.683982
2025-09-21 0.002619 0.008328 0.022943 0.060047 0.146417 0.328104 0.721901
2025-09-28 0.002287 0.007636 0.021876 0.059243 0.148741 0.341614 0.768710
2025-10-05 0.002186 0.007597 0.022460 0.062512 0.160649 0.376247 0.861840
2025-10-12 0.002047 0.007410 0.022627 0.064758 0.170406 0.407073 0.949338
2025-10-19 0.001775 0.006744 0.021389 0.063233 0.171017 0.417963 0.995058
2025-10-26 0.001571 0.006249 0.020539 0.062604 0.173718 0.433696 1.052504
2025-11-02 0.001349 0.005637 0.019243 0.060573 0.172670 0.440773 1.091260